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Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato: The Mitsubishi UFJ incident is under investigation. Note: Previously, Japan's Financial Services Agency will order Mitsubishi UFJ Bank to prepare a report on a series of safe theft by a former employee.Li Tie's family members were not present at the trial today, and the verdict in the first instance of Li Tie's case will start at 8:30 on time today. It is understood that after the trial today, it will directly enter the sentencing procedure, and the presiding judge will read the verdict and then ask the parties whether to appeal. Besides, apart from the defense lawyer, Li Tie's family did not come to the scene. (CCTV)In the first 11 months of GEM, the scale of raising funds by issuing 34 new shares dropped significantly year-on-year. Statistics show that from January to November, 2024, there were 34 new shares listed on GEM, with a total amount of raised funds of about 20.174 billion yuan. The number of issues and the scale of raising funds decreased by about 67% and 83% respectively year-on-year, and the number of listed new shares declined for three consecutive years. Among them, Nova Nebula and Yilian Technology have raised a total of more than 1 billion yuan, which is on the top. The share prices of the first-time shares of GEM all rose on the first day of listing, among which Changlian Technology and Shangda Shares rose more than 1000% on the first day of listing. In addition, there are 17 new shares listed income increased by more than 200%. In terms of underwriters, in the first November of 2024, the number of main underwriting projects of CITIC Jiantou, Guotai Junan and CICC was in the top three. Judging from the scale of fundraising, the total number of projects underwritten by Minsheng Securities and CITIC Jiantou exceeds 2.5 billion yuan, and the project scale of China Merchants Securities, Huatai United Securities and Guotai Junan exceeds 1.5 billion yuan. (Xinhua Finance)

Soochow securities: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December. According to the soochow securities Research Report, the CPI of the United States rebounded to +2.75% in November as scheduled, and the CPI that did not exceed expectations cleared the last obstacle for the Fed to cut interest rates in December. In the short term, the combination of low base and high viscosity means that CPI is expected to continue to rebound to +2.8% in December. In the medium term, Trump is expected to drive out illegal immigrants on the first day after taking office, which will aggravate the risk of stagflation in the labor market. However, the intensification of wage inflation stickiness may be concealed by the downward movement of non-agricultural centers in the same period, the expectation of increasing oil prices and the high base in the first half of 2025. The market's concern about "stagnation" may provide room for the Fed to cut interest rates smoothly in the first half of 2025. However, in the second half of 2025, the cumulative interest rate cuts will give support to the economy, the persistence of inflation stickiness and the landing of Trump's tax reduction policy will force the Fed to cut interest rates. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December, 25bps in March and June next year, and stop cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. The end point of the policy interest rate in 2025 is [3.75,4.0]%.Guotai Junan: It is expected that the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, and there is a strong opportunity and space for rebound. Guotai Junan Securities recently reported that the lithium price has entered the bottom range by the end of 2024. If the demand maintains the current neutral estimate in 2025, the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range. At present, the market is optimistic about the demand in 2025, and the industry supply has slowed down. It is estimated that the price trend of lithium will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, in which the stage is affected by seasonal factors and there is a strong rebound opportunity and space. The market expected the trading of lithium plate earlier, that is, when the commodity price bottomed out, the lithium plate already contained the expectation of industrial clearing. When the industry actually enters the stage of supply and clearing, the sector will trade commodity price reversal expectations. From this, we infer that the rise of lithium plate will start before the spot price reverses.The dollar rose to 152.91 yen against the yen, the highest since November 27.

Asiana Airlines: It is estimated that the debt ratio will drop from the previous 1847% to 700%.Bank of Japan: The confidence index of large manufacturers rose to the highest level since March 2022.In the first 11 months of GEM, the scale of raising funds by issuing 34 new shares dropped significantly year-on-year. Statistics show that from January to November, 2024, there were 34 new shares listed on GEM, with a total amount of raised funds of about 20.174 billion yuan. The number of issues and the scale of raising funds decreased by about 67% and 83% respectively year-on-year, and the number of listed new shares declined for three consecutive years. Among them, Nova Nebula and Yilian Technology have raised a total of more than 1 billion yuan, which is on the top. The share prices of the first-time shares of GEM all rose on the first day of listing, among which Changlian Technology and Shangda Shares rose more than 1000% on the first day of listing. In addition, there are 17 new shares listed income increased by more than 200%. In terms of underwriters, in the first November of 2024, the number of main underwriting projects of CITIC Jiantou, Guotai Junan and CICC was in the top three. Judging from the scale of fundraising, the total number of projects underwritten by Minsheng Securities and CITIC Jiantou exceeds 2.5 billion yuan, and the project scale of China Merchants Securities, Huatai United Securities and Guotai Junan exceeds 1.5 billion yuan. (Xinhua Finance)